RESTRUCTURED CURRICULUM
AND SYLLABI - STATISTICS
COMPLEMENTARY COMPONENT FIRST SEMESTER STATISTICS
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO B.SC. COMPUTER APPLICATIONS
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO PSYCHOLOGY
Complementary Course to Sociology
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO MATHEMATICS & PHYSICS
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO ECONOMICS
RESTRUCTURED CURRICULUM
AND SYLLABI
FOR
UG COURSES
UNDER CHOICE BASED COURSE CREDIT SEMESTER SYSTEM & GRADING
May 2009
Mahatma Gandhi University, Kottayam has reconstituted the Board of Studies in various subjects and made strong and sincere steps to reconstitute UG Courses, which aims at an improved curriculum to contain the services of all teachers, to incorporate provisions for incremental changes for accommodating new courses and greater choices for students. It also targets the following specific features for introducing
· Semester system.
· Choice based credit system.
· A combination of internal and external evaluation.
· Grading system.
Accordingly a Five-day Workshop in Statistics was conducted, ensuring adequate participation from the academic community as a whole, on 14, 15, 20, 21, & 22 of May 2009 at St. Thomas College, Palai.
30 teachers in Statistics from various colleges participated in the workshop.
The following experts participated and presented papers.
(i) Dr. P. Yageen Thomas, Professor and Head of the Department of Statistics, University of Kerala,
(ii) Dr. K.K. Jose, Principal and former HOD of Statistics, St. Thomas College, Palai
(iii) Prof. K.S. Jayachandran, HOD of Statistics, Sree Kerala Varma College, Thrissur.
Fruitful discussions and deliberations in the workshop lead to framing of the new curriculum and syllabi in Statistics the following programs.
1. B.Sc. Statistics Program (Core) with
four Open courses and four choice based core courses
2. Complementary course to Mathematics
3. Complementary course to Physics
4. Complementary course to Psychology
5. Complementary course to Sociology
6. Complementary course to Economics.
7. Complementary course to BCA
8. Complementary course to B.Sc. Computer Applications
are presented herewith.
N.K. Valsamma
Chairperson, Board of Studies in Statistics
hrs hrs Credit
I 1.1 Methodology and perspectives
of Sciences 4 3 4 3
II 2.2 Descriptive Statistics 4 3 4 3
III 3.3 Probability Theory 5 4 5 4
IV 4.4 Statistical Distributions 5 4 5 4
V 5.5 Theory of Estimation 5 4
5.6 Mathematics for Statistics – I 5 4
5.7 Sample Survey Designs 5 4
5.8 Vital Statistics 5 4
25 20
Open Course (i) Applied Statistics
Choice based (ii) Bio-Statistics 5 4
(iii) Spread Sheet Calculations
and Elementary Data Analysis
VI 6.9 Testing of Hypothesis 5 4
6.10 Mathematics for Statistics – II 5 4
6.11 Design of Experiments 5 4
6.12 Statistical Quality Control 5 4
25 20
Core-Choice Based Elective
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6.13 (i) Operations Research
` (ii) Stochastic Processes
(iii) Mathematical Economics 4 3
(iv) Computer Aided Statistical
Data Analysis
Project 1 1
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68 hrs 54
Core 1.1. Methodology and Perspectives of Sciences
Science and Science Studies: Types of Knowledge – Practical, Theoretical and Scientific Knowledge. What is Science, What is not Science, Laws of Science. Basis for Scientific Laws and Factual Truths. Science as a Human Activity, Scientific Temper, Empiricism, Vocabulary of Science. Science and Technology.
12 hrs
Methods and Tools: Origin and meaning of Statistics, Limitations and Misuses of Statistics. Methods of Collection and Editing of Primary Data. Designing of a Questionnaire and a Schedule. Sources and Editing of Secondary Data. Classification and Tabulation of Data. Diagrammatic Presentation, Line Diagram, Bar Diagrams and Pie Diagram.
20 hrs
Data Handling in Science: Graphical Representation of Frequency Distribution by Frequency Polygon, Frequency Curve and Ogives. Measures of Central Tendency, Arithmetic Mean, Median, Mode, Geometric Mean, Harmonic Mean. Positional Averages – Quartiles, Deciles and Percentiles, Stem and leaf charts, Box - plot.
15 hrs
Experimentations: Measures of Dispersion, Definition, Range, Quartile Deviation, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation. Properties of these Measures, Relative Measures of Dispersion, Coefficient of Variation.
25 hrs
Total 72 hours
Books for study
II Semester Core Course II
Core 2.2. Descriptive Statistics
Moments: Raw and Central Moments, Relation between Central and Raw Moments, Grouping error and Sheppard’s corrections, Skewness and Kurtosis, Karl Pearson’s Measure of Skewness, Bowley’s Measure of Skewness, moment measure of skewness, measures of Kurtosis.
12 hrs
Curve Fitting: Principle of Least Squares, Fitting of Straight Lines, Parabolas, Exponential Curves. Bivariate Linear Correlation – Scatter Diagram Pearsons Correlation Coefficient, Spearman’s Rank Correlation Coefficient. Bivariate Linear Regression – Regression Lines, Coefficients of Regression. Multiple and Partial Correlation for three Variables (without proof).
25 hrs
Index Numbers: Simple and Weighted Index Numbers, Criteria of a Good Index Number, Cost of Living Index Number, Laspeyere’s, Paasche’s, Marshall-Edgeworth’s and Fisher’s Indices, Base Shifting, Splicing, Deflating, Fixed and Chain Base Indices.
20 hrs
Time Series Analysis: Components of a Time Series, Measurement of Trend and Seasonal Variation.
15 hrs
Total 72 hours
References
III Semester Core Course III
Core 3.3 Probability Theory
Module I
Basic Concepts in Probability: Deterministic and Random Experiments, Trial, Outcome, Sample Space, Event, and Operations of Events, Mutually Exclusive and Exhaustive Events, and Equally Likely and favourable Outcomes with Examples. Permutation and Combination Theory. Algebra of Events.
Mathematical, Statistical and Axiomatic Definitions of Probability with Merits and Demerits. Addition Theorem and Properties of Probability based on Axiomatic Definition. Boole’s Inequality.
Conditional Probability and Independence of Events. Multiplication Theorems. Bayes’ Theorem (with proof). Problems on Probability using Counting Methods and Bayes’ Theorem.
25 hrs
Module II
Definition of Random Variable, Discrete and Continuous Random Variables, Functions of Random Variables.
Probability Mass Function and Probability Density Function with Illustrations. Distribution Function and its Properties.
Bivariate Random Variable, Bivariate Distribution and Statement of its Properties. Joint, Marginal and Conditional Distributions. Independence of Random Variables. Transformation of Univariate and Bivariate Random Variables.
25 hrs
Module III
Mathematical Expectation of a Function of a Random Variable. Mean and Variance of a Random Variable. Addition and Multiplication Theorem on Expectation. Raw and Central Moments. Examples of Random Variables for which moments does not exist. Mode and Median of Discrete and Continuous Random Variables.
Covariance and Population Correlation. Cauchy-Schwartz’s Inequalitiey Conditional Expectation (regression function) and Conditional Variance.
20 hrs
Module IV
Definition of Moment Generating Function (MGF), Cumulant Generating Function (CGF), Characteristic Function (CF) and Probability Generating Function (PGF) Statements of their Properties with Applications. Method of Computing Mean and Variance from the MGF and Characteristic Function with Suitable examples.
20 hrs
Total 90 hours
IV Semester Core Course IV
Core 4.4. Statistical Distributions
Module I
A revisit to the concept of probability mass function, probability density function, cumulative distribution function.
Standard discrete distributions and their applications - Degenerate, uniform, Bernoulli, binomial, geometric, Poisson - mean, variance, m.g.f, their properties-fitting of binomial and Poisson, memory less property of geometric distribution.
Generalized power series- uniform, binomial, Poisson etc as special cases.
25hrs
Module II
Standard continuous distributions and their applications - Uniform, Beta two types, exponential, gamma, double exponential (Laplace), Cauchy, Pareto, logistic- mean, variance, m.g.f, characteristic function, their properties - memory less property of exponential distribution
25hrs
Module III
Continuous distributions - Normal, lognormal- their properties- fitting of normal distribution, - linear combination of normal variates, use of standard normal tables for various probability computation. Bivariate normal- marginal and conditional distributions.
20hrs
Module IV
Chebyshevs inequality, convergence in probability, Chebyshevs weak law of large numbers, Lindberg-Levy form of Central Limit Theorem -Normal distribution as a limiting case of binomial and Poisson under suitable assumptions.
20hrs
Total 90 hours
Books for Study
1. Hogg, R. V. and Craig, A. T. (1970). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics. Amerind Publishing Co., Pvt. Ltd.
2.
Gupta, S.C. and Kapoor, V. K. (2002). Fundamentals of Mathematical
Statistics,
Edition. Sultan chand and Sons, New Delhi.
References
V Semester Core Course V
Course 5.5 Theory of Estimation
Sampling distributions: Concept of random sample and statistic, sampling distribution of a statistic, standard error, sampling distributions of the mean and variance of a random sampling arising from a normal population. c2, t and F distributions- derivations, properties, uses and inter relationships.
30 hrs
Point estimation: Describe properties of a good estimator – unbiasedness, consistency, sufficiency and efficiency. Cramer-Rao inequality and its application, Minimum variance bound estimator Rao – Blackwell Theorem. Completeness property of an estimator.
30 hrs
Methods of estimation: Method of moments; Method of maximum likelihood properties of maximum likelihood estimation (statement only), Method of minimum variance, uniqueness of minimum variance unbiased estimator.
15 hrs
Interval estimation: Basic concepts- Confidence interval, confidence coefficient. Construction of confidence intervals for the mean, equality of means, variance and ratio of variances based on normal, t, c2 and F distributions. Large sample confidence intervals for mean, difference of means, proportion and difference of proportion.
15 hrs
Total 90 hrs
1. Hogg, R.V. and Craig A.T. – Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Amerind Publishing Co. Pvt. Ltd.
2. Mood A.M., Gray bill F.A. and Boves D.C. – Introduction to Theory of Statistics, Mc Graw Hill.
V Semester Core Course VI
Core 5.6 Mathematical Methods - 1
Real Number System, Sets, Bounded Set, Supremum and Infimum, Neighbourhood of a point, Limit Point of a Set, Derived Set. Bolzano-Weierstrass Theorem. Open and Closed Sets. Countable and Uncountable Sets.
25 hrs
Real Sequences: Convergence and Divergence of Sequences, Cauchy’s General Principle of Convergence, Cauchy Sequences. Algebra of Sequences, Cauchy’s First and Second Theorems on Limits, Monotonic Sequences, Sub Sequences.
25 hrs
Infinite Series: Convergence and Divergence of Series, Comparison Tests, Cauchy’s Root Test, D’Alemberts ratio test, Absolute Convergence
15 hrs
Real Valued Functions: Limit, Continuity, and Differentiability, Uniform Continuity, Rolle’s Theorem, Lagrange’s Mean Value Theorem, Cauchy’s Mean Value Theorem Uniform Convergence of Sequences and Series of Functions. Reimann Integral – Definition and examples, Properties of integral, Fundamental Theorem of Integral Calculus, First Mean Value Theorem of Integral Calculus
25 hrs
Total 90 hours
V Semester Core Course VII
Core 5.7 Sample Survey Designs
Basic concepts: Census and Sampling, Types of Sampling – Subjective, judgement, Probability, mixed, Advantages and disadvantages, Principal steps in a sample survey, sampling and Non-sampling error, organizational aspects of sample survey.
20 hrs
Simple random sampling: Simple random sampling with and without replacement, procedures of selecting a sample, unbiased estimates of the population mean and population total-their variances and estimates of the variances, confidence interval for population mean and total, simple random sampling for attributes, estimation of sample size based on desired accuracy for variables and attributes.
25 hrs
Stratified random sampling: Estimation of the population mean and population total-their variances and estimates of the variances, proportional allocation and Neyman allocation of sample sizes, cost function – optimum allocation, comparison with simple random sampling.
22 hrs
Systematic Sampling: Linear and Circular Systematic Sampling, estimates of the population mean and population total, Comparison of Systematic Sampling with simple random sampling, Cluster sampling – clusters with equal sizes – estimation of population mean and total – their variances and estimates of the variances.
23 hrs
Total 90 hours
V Semester Core Course VIII
Core 5.8 Vital Statistics
Sources of Vital Statistics in India, Functions of Vital Statistics, Census, Registration, adhoc surveys, hospital records.
15 hrs
Measurement of mortality: Rates and Ratios, Mortality rates – crude death rate, age specific death rate and standardized death rates.
20 hrs
Life tables: Complete life tables and its characteristics, Abridged life tables and its characteristics, principal methods of construction of abridged life tables, Reed merrel’s method, Greville’s method, King’s method.
30 hrs
Measurement of fertility: Crude Birth Rate, General Fertility rate, age-specific fertility rate, Total Fertility rate, Gross reproduction rate, Net reproduction rate.
25 hrs
Total 90 hours
V Semester Open Course – I
Applied Statistics
Index Numbers: Meaning, classification, Construction of Index numbers. Un weighted IN’s, Weighted IN’s – Laspeyre’s, Paasche’s, Dorbish – Bowley’s, Fisher’s, Marshall – Edgeworth’s and Kelly’s methods, Quantity IN’s.
15 hrs
Tests on Index Numbers – Factor reversal test, Time Reversal test, Circular test. Chain IN’s, Base shifting, splicing and Deflating of IN’s. Consumer price IN’s.
20 hrs
Time Series: Concept of time Series – components of time series – additive and multiplicative models, measurement of trend using graphical, semi-average and moving average methods.
30 hrs
Indian official statistics: Central statistical organization, National Sample Survey Organization. Population Census – De Facto and De Jure method. Economic Census, Agricultural Census. Agricultural Statistics, live stock and poultry statistics, forest statistics, fisheries statistics, mining and quarrying statistics, labour statistics, national income statistics, financial statistics.
25 hrs
Total 90 hours
V Semester Open Course -II
Bio-Statistics
Epidemiology and Health Statistics – Introduction, Utilization of the Basic Data, Sources of Health Statistics, Problems in the Collection of Sickness Data, Measurement of Sickness, Hospital Statistics, International Classification of Diseases, Sample size determination.
20 hrs
Standardized Rates and Life Tables – Introduction, Mortality and Morbidity rates, incidence rates, prevalence rates, Measures of accuracy and sensitivity index, specificity index, Adjusted or Standardized Rates, Life Tables, Construction of Life Tables. Vital Statistics – Introduction, Uses of Vital Statistics, Mechanism for Collection of Vital Statistics, Basic Formulae for Calculation of Vital Statistics, Mortality Rates, Fertility Rates.
30 hrs
Demography – Introduction, Population Growth, Age and Sex Composition, Dependency Ratio, Other Indices, Fertility and Morality, Demographic Transition, Population Estimation.
20 hrs
Statistical Genetics, Linkage and crossing over genetic maps, Microarrays and genes, Mendel’s law of inheritance, laws of segregation and independent assortment, concept of generation, use of chi-square in testing Mendel’s segregation law, sex linked genes, Partition of chi-square, Estimation and Test to Detect Linkage, Clinical Trials.
20 hrs
Total 90 hours
References
V Semester Open Course – III
Spread Sheet Calculations and Elementary Data Analysis
Objective: To equip the students with the knowledge of spread sheet calculations and elementary Statistical analysis using spread sheet programs.
Module I
Excel Basics: Introduction to electronic spread sheets, Working with work books, Formula basics, Editing formulas, Writing multiple copies of a formula, Usage of built in functions (Database functions, Lookup and Reference functions, Math and Trigonometry functions, Text functions, Statistical functions), Formatting, saving and printing.
20 hrs
Module II
Charts and Pivot Tables: Creating charts with chart wizard, Picking and reviewing Chart types (line charts, bar charts, Pie charts, Scatter charts), Modifying charts, saving, printing and Sharing charts, Customizing Charts, Using Pivot table wizard, Modifying Pivot tables, Working with data in pivot tables, Using Pivot tables to create charts, Importing data into a pivot table, Combining Worksheets in pivot tables.
20 hrs
Module III
Descriptive Statistics Using Excel: Introduction to data analysis tool pack, Frequency distribution and histogram, Computation of summary measures, cross tabulation and pivot tables.
20 hrs
Module 1V
Elementary Statistical analysis using Excel: Statistical tests concerning means (One sample Z test for mean, One sample t test for mean, Two sample Z test for means, Two sample t test for means, Paired t test), The F test for variance, Correlation Analysis, Simple Regression analysis, Fitting of Trend line. 30hrs
Total 90 hrs
Books for Study
References
1. Richard Johnson (2006), Miller & Freund’s Probability and Statistics for Engineers.
2. Microsoft Office – Online Help
V Semester Open Course – IV
Statistical Applications Using R
Module I
Introduction to R with history of development of R. R download and library functions. R console, R symbols, functions and terms. Communicating with R using different ways (using word processor, excel, SPSS etc.). Getting data into R. Input data from keyboard using c ( ), scan ( ) functions.
15 hrs
Module II
Handling of large data using R, combining vectors into a rectangular matrix, use of rbind(), cbind( ) functions. Reading from ASCII text file- read.table( ) function, file.choose( ) function. Use of data created by other statistical packages. Data frames, colname( ) function, R workspace, attach( ) function.
15 hrs
Module III
Application of R in statistical data analysis-summery statistics, variance-covariances, moments. Graphics using R-Plotting of curves, histogram, frequency table, Probability distributions, sampling distributions, testing of hypothesis,
30 hrs
Module IV
Simple, multiple regression- linear models. Time series applications, simple multivariate data analysis. Scatter diagram, error plotting, curve fitting. Analysis of experiments. R programming fundamentals.
30 hrs
Total 72 hrs
Books for study
1. The R book. (2007) Michael J. Crawley.
2. Statistics: An introduction using R (2005) . Michael J. Crawley.
3. Hand book of Statistical analysis using R (2006). Brian S. Everitt and Torsten Hothorn.
VI Semester Core Course IX
Statistical hypothesis – Simple and Composite hypotheses, null and alternative hypotheses, test of a hypothesis, two types of errors, critical region, significance level and power of a test. Unbiased test; Uniformly most powerful test.
25 hrs
Neyman-Pearson theorem and it’s application. Likelihood ratio tests - test for the mean, test for equality of means (common with unknown variance), test for the variance and test for equality of variances.
20 hrs
Large sample tests concerning means, equality of means, proportion and equality of proportions. Test based on c2 distribution for goodness of fit, independence and homogeneity. Small sample tests for the mean and equality of means. Testing equality of means using paired data. Tests based on c2 distribution for variance and F distribution for the equality of variances. Tests concerning correlation coefficients.
30 hrs
Non parametric tests (All tests as techniques only). Basic ideas, sign test for one sample and two sample cases, signed rank tests for one sample and two sample cases, run test for randomness, Wald-Wolfowitz run test, Mann-Whitney U-test, Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests for one sample and tow samples, Median test for two independent samples.
15 hrs
Books for Study
VI Semester Core Course X
Core 6.10 Mathematical Methods – II
Numerical Analysis: Operators E and Delta and their basic properties. Divided differences.
10 hrs
Interpolation formulae: Newton’s forward and backward formulae. Lagrange’s formula, Newton’s divided difference formula, Central difference formulae, Stirling’s, Bessel’s and Everett’s formula.
25 hrs
Numerical Integration: Trapezoidal rule, Simpson’s 1/3rd and 3/8th rules and Weddle’s rule.
20 hrs
Complex Analysis: Analytic functions – Cauchy Riemann equations – Cauchy’s integral formula Taylor and Laurent’s series expansion fundamental theorem of algebra. Poles and Singularities – Contour integration (simple problems).
35 hrs
Total 90 hrs
References
VI Semester Core Course XI
6.11 Design of Experiments
Principles of Experimentation, Linear Estimation, Estimability of Parametric functions, BLUE, Gauss-Markov Theorem (without proof)
20 hrs
Testing of Linear Hypothesis, ANOVA of one-way classified data, ANOVA of two-way classified data with multiple and equal number of observations per cell.
25 hrs
Layout and Analysis of the basic designs CRD, RBD and LSD. Missing Plot Techniques, Relative Efficiency of Designs.
20 hrs
Introduction to Factorial Experiments – Illustrations, Main Effects, Interactions and Analysis in 2n experiments in the set up of RBD.
25 hrs
Total 90 hours
Books for study
1. Design and Analysis of Experiments 2/e (1986) M.N. Das and N.C. Giri, Wiley Eastern Limited,
Chapter – 1; Sections 1.1-1.9, Chapter – 2; Sections 2.1-2.5
Chapter – 3; Sections 3.1-3.7
2. Linear Estimation and Design of Experiments (1987) D.D. Joshi, Wiley Eastern Limited.
Chapter – 4; Sections 4.1-4.7, Chapter – 5; Sections 5.1-5.6
Chapter – 6; Sections 6.1-6.5, Chapter – 7; Sections 7.1-7.7
Chapter – 8; Sections 8.1-8.6, Chapter – 9; Sections 9.1-9.7
Chapter – 10; All Sections Expect 10.3, Chapter – 14; Sections 14.1-14.6
Chapter – 15; Sections 15.1-15.6, Chapter – 17; Sections 17.1-17.6
Reference
1. Design and Analysis of Experiments 5/e (2001) D.C. Montgomery, John Wiley and Sons, Inc.
Chapter – 1; Sections 1.1-1.6, Chapter – 2; Sections 2.1-2.3
Chapter – 3; Sections 3.1-3.3, Chapter – 4; Sections 4.1-4.2
Chapter – 5; Sections 5.1-5.3.2, Chapter – 6; Sections 6.1-6.4
Chapter – 7; Sections 7.1-7.5, Chapter – 14; Sections 14.1-14.6
Chapter – 15; Sections 15.1-15.6, Chapter – 17; Sections 17.1-17.6
VI Semester Core Course XII
Core 6.12 Statistical Quality Control
Meaning of the term Statistical Quality Control, Process Control and Product Control Assignable and Chances Causes, Definition of Quality Control and Statistical Quality Control. Need for Statistical Quality Control Techniques in Industry, Causes of Quality Variation. Control Charts, Operation and uses of Control Charts, Probability limits, Specification limits, Tolerance limits, 3 Sigma limits and Warning limits.
15 hrs
Control
Charts for Variables:
Chart, R Chart, Purpose of the Charts, Basis of Subgrouping,
Plotting of
and R Charts, Determining the Trial Control Limits and out of
Control Situations, Interpretation of Control Charts.
25 hrs
Control Chart for attributes: P Chart, np Chart, C Chart and U Charts. Construction of p, np, c and U Charts, Choice between p, np, and c charts.
20 hrs
Product Control: Principles of Acceptance Sampling, Stipulation of good and bad lots, Producers and Consumers risks, Simple and Double Sampling Plans, their O.C. Functions, Concepts of AQL, LTPD, AOQL, Average amount of Inspection and ASN function, Rectifying Inspection Plans and Sampling Inspection Plans.
30 hrs
Total 90 hrs
VI Semester Choice Based Elective – I
Core 6.13 Operations Research
Operations Research: Origin and Development of OR, Objectives of OR, Modeling and types of models in OR.
10 hrs
Linear Programming: Mathematical formulation of LPP, Graphical and Simplex methods of solving LPP – Duality in Linear Programming.
25 hrs
Transportation and Assignment Problems: North – West Corner Rule, Row Column and Table Minima Method – Vogel’s Approximation Method. Assignment Problem, Hungarian Algorithm of Solution.
20 hrs
Network Analysis: Drawing the Network Diagram – Analysis of Network, Calculation of Critical Path – PERT, Expected Completion Time and its Variance.
17 hrs
Total 72 hrs
References
VI Semester Core Choice Based Elective II
6.13 Stochastic Process
Concept of Stochastic Process – Definition, Classification with egs, Markov Chains – Transition Probabilities Transition Probability Matrix – Properties, Chapman Kolmogorov equations, Examples and Computation.
20 hrs
First Passage Probabilities, Probability Generating Functions Relationship between First Passage and Transition Probabilities, Classification of States – Recurrent, Transient Ergodic State, Accessibility, Communication, Periodic Stationary Distribution.
18 hrs
Random Walk – Absorbing Elastic and Reflecting Barriers – Gambler’s Ruin Problem. Ultimate Ruin Probability, Brownian Motion.
14 hrs
Module IV
Poisson Process – Axiomatic derivation, Interarrival distribution, relation to binomial, geometric and gamma distribution. Pure Birth Process – Difference Differential Equation Yule Process [as example].
20 hrs
Total 72 hours
VI Semester Core – choice based Elective – III
Core 6.13 Mathematical Economics
Module I
Demand and supply analysis: Concept of demand, demand function, elasticity of demand, elasticity of substitution, relation between elasticity of demand, price, average revenue, total.
12 hrs
Module II
Consumer behaviour: Concept of utility, cardinal and ordinal utility, maximization of utility, budget constraint and equilibrium of consumer, income and substitution effects of a price change, Sluky equation.
20 hrs
Production theory: Output and input relation, total, average, marginal products in case of production with single variable input, production isoquants and economic region of production. Meaning and nature of production functions, returns to scale, linearly homogeneous production functions and its properties, Euler’s theorem and its applications for various standard production functions.
20 hrs
Module IV
Markets: Price determination in perfect competition, in monopoly, discriminating monopoly, duopoly and oligopoly. Production cost, optimum combination of inputs, constrained cost minimization, profit maximization.
20 hrs
Total 72 hrs
References
VI Semester Core –Choice based Elective - IV
Core 6.13 Computer Aided Statistical Data Analysis
Objective: To orient the students to do data analysis by using spread sheet programs
Module I
Data handling in Excel: Data entry on the work sheet, Calculations on the worksheet, Usage of built in functions, construction of graphs and diagrams (Bar diagrams, Pie Diagram, Line diagram, Scatter plot etc).
16 hrs
Module II
Descriptive Statistics Using Excel: Introduction to data analysis tool pack, Frequency distribution and histogram, Computation of summary measures, cross tabulation and pivot tables.
16 hrs
Module III
Statistical Inference using Excel: Statistical tests concerning means (One sample Z test for mean, One sample t test for mean, Two sample Z test for means, Two sample t test for means, Paired t test), The F test for variance, Analysis of Variance (One way ANOVA, Two way ANOVA with and without replication) The Chi-square test for goodness of fit and independence.
20 hrs
Module IV
Regression and Trend Analysis: Correlation Analysis, Simple Regression analysis, Multiple Regression, Diagnostic analysis of Regression., Fitting of Trend line, Polynomial Trends, Logarithmic, Power and Exponential Trends, Moving Averages, Exponential Smoothing.
20 hrs
Total 72 hours
Books for Study
1. Sarma KVS (2001), Statistics Made Simple Do It Yourself on PC, Prentice Hall of India.
2. Richard Johnson (2006), Miller & Freund’s Probability and Statistics for Engineers
References
1. Ken Black, Kenneth Urban Black and David L. Eldredge (2001), Business and Economic Statistics Using Microsoft Excel, Thomson Learning, ISBN 032401726X, 9780324017267
2. Microsoft Office – Online Help
3. Ramesh Bangia (2006), Straight to the Point M S Office 2000, Firewall Media
MODEL II COMPLEMENTARY COMPONENT FIRST SEMESTER STATISTICS - COURSE I
Hours per week:6
MODULE I
Introduction to statistics, population and Sample, Collection of data, Various methods of date collection, Census Sampling methods of sampling - Simple random sampling (with and without replacement) - statified sampling - Systematic sampling (Method only). Diagrammatic representation - histogram, frequency polygon, frequency curve, ogives.
MODULE II
Measures of Central Tendency - Mean, Median, Mode, Geometric mean, Harmonic mean and properties Absolute and relative measures of Dispersion - Range, Quartile deviation, Percentiles, Deciles, Mean deviation, Standard deviation, Coefficient of variation.
MODULE III
Raw Moments, Central Moments, Absolute Moments,Inter relationship (First four moment), Skewness - Measures - Pearson, Bowley and Moment Measure, Kurtosis Measures of Kurtosis - Moment Measure.
MODULE IV
Idea of Permutations and combinations, Probability concepts - Random Experiment, Sample space, Events, probability measure, Approaches to probability - Classical, Statistical and Axiomatic, Addition Theorem (Up to 3 events). Conditional probability, Independence of events, Multiplication Theorem (Up to3 events), Bay’s Theorem and its application.
MODULE V
Index Numbers - Definition. Simple Index Numbers, Weighted Index Numbers - Laspeyer’s, Paasche’s and fisher’s index numbers. Test of Index Numbers, Construction of Index Numbers, Cost of living Indiex Numbers - Family Budget method, Aggregate Expenditure Method.
Core - Reference
S.P Gupta: Statistical Methods (Sultan Chand & Sons Delhi)
S.C and V.K kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand & Sons.
MODEL II
COMPLEMENTRY COMPONENT
SECOND SEMESTER
STATISTICS - COURSE 1
Hours per Week 6
MODULE I
Random variable - Discrete and continuous, Probility Distribution - Probability mass function ; Probability Density function and Cumulative (distribution) function and their properties change of variables (Univariate Only) Bivariate Random variables - Definition - Discrete and continuous, Joint Probability Density function, Marginal and Conditional Distributions Independence of Random Variables.
MODULE II
Mathematical Expectations - Expectation of a random variable, Moments in terms of Expectation, Moment generating Function (m.g.f) and its properties. Characteristic Function and its Simple Properties, Conditional Expectation.
MODULE III
Introduction to bivariate date - Method of Least Squares - Curve Fitting - Fitting of Straight Lines, Second Degree Equation, Exponential Curve, Power Curve, Linear Corelation - Methods of Correlation - Covatiance Method, Rank Correlation (Equal ranks). Lineat regression - Regression Equation - Fitting and identification, properties.
MODULE IV
Discrete Distribution - Uniform: Geometric Bernoulli; Binomial; Poisson; Fitting of Distributions (Binomial andPoisson). Properties - Mean, Variance, m.g.f,Additive property; recurrence relation for moments (Binomial and Poisson) Memory lessness property of Geometric distribution.
MODULE V
Continuous distributions - Uniform; Exponential; Gamma; Beta (type I and type II); Normal; Standard Normal - definition, Mean Variance, m. g. f Additive property, Memory lessness property of exponential distribution Fitting of Normal, Use of standard Normal Tables for Computation of Various Probabilities.
CORE REFERENCE
1. S.P Gupta: Statistical Methode (Sultan Chand & Sons Delhi)
2. S.C Gupta and V.K Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons.
MODEL II
COMPLEMENTARY COMPONENT
THIRD SEMESTER
STATISTICS - COURSE I
Hours per week:6
MODULE I
Law of Large Numbers - Tehebycheff’s inequality, Concept of convergence in probability - Bernouili law of large Numbers, Lindberge - Levy form of Central Limit theorem (Sratement and Proof), Simple application.
MODULE II
Sampling Distributions - Deviation of distribution of the mean of sample from a normal population - Statement of the form of the distribution of the mean and variance of sample from a normal distribution, Definitionand statement of the form of the disttibutionof t,F and chi-square - Inter relations -use of tables.
MODULE III
Point Estimation - Desirable properties-unbiasedness- consistency -efficiency and sufficiency Fisher Neyman Factorisationtheorem of sufficiency (without proof) and condition for its attainment - Method of Estimation - Maximaum Likelihood - Method of Moments - Method of minimum variance.
Interval Estimation - Interval estimation of mean and variance of normal population.
MODULE IV
Two type of Errors- Critical region - Significance level, power, Neyman -pearson theorem for testing of simple hypothesis against a single alternative (without proof) - applications.
Large sample tests - Testing mean and equality of means - testing a proportion and equality of proportion goodness of fit
Small sample tests-tests based on normal, t, chi-squar and F tests for equaluity of corrilations.
MODULE V
Linear regression-Partial and multiple correlation.
Lorenz Curve and Lognormal Distributionand their application
Core - Reference
S.p Gupta : Statistical Methods (Sultan Chand & Sons Delhi)
S.C and V.K Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand & Sons.
MODEL II
COMPLEMENTARY COMPONENT
FORTH SEMESTER
STATISTICS - COURSE I
Hours per week:5
MODULE I
Analysis of Time Series Data - Free hand method, method of moving averages,the method of least squares. changing the unit value and shifting the origin Seasonal and Cyclical movement - seasonal variation- the method of sample averages, Ratio to trend method, Ratio to moving average method, link relative method,seasonally adjusted data, Cyclical fluctuation
MODULE II
Analysis of Variance-One way analysis of variance, one way analysis of variance with unequal sample size, Two way analysis of variance, Two way analysis of variance with interaction
Design of Experiments - Principles of designing - randomization, replication and local control, completely randomized design, Randomized block design, and Latin Square design - including missing observations
module III
Elements of surveys - General principles of Sampling - census versus sample enumeration, Limitation of Sampling, principle steps in sample survey, Sampling and non-sampling errors, type of sampling - purposive Sampling, Probability Sampling, mixed sampling, simple random sampling (without replacement), Selection of simple random sampling, Stratified sampling, Systematic sampling - Formula for estimating the mean of the population and variance of the estimate in simple random sampling
module IV
Statistical Quality Control
Control charts, 3-a Control limits, Tool for SQC, Control Chart for variable, Control chart for mean or 7 chart, Control chart for range or R-Chart, Control chart for SD, Attributes, Fraction defective, P Chart for variable sample six, Control Chart for number of detectives or np-Chart, Control chart for defects per unit - c - chart, acceptance sampling plan, double sampling plans, Sequential sampling plan, Curves for sampling plans
core reference
S.p Gupta : Statistical Methods (Sultan Chand & Sons Delhi)
2.S.C and V.K Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand & Sons.
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO B.SC. COMPUTER APPLICATIONS
I Semester – Complementary – Statistics - (Optional) -Course I
Basic Statistics
Hours per week – 4
Introduction to Statistics, Population and Sample, Collection of Data, Various methods of data collection, Census and Sampling Methods of Sampling – Simple Random Sampling (with and without replacement) – stratified sampling – systematic sampling (Method only), Types of data – quantitative, qualitative, Classification and Tabulation, Diagrammatic representation – Bar diagram, pie diagram; pictogram and cartogram, Graphical representation – histogram; frequency polygon; frequency curve; ogives and stem and leaf chart.
Module II
Measures of Central Tendency – Mean; Median; Mode; Geometric Mean; Harmonic Mean and Properties, Absolute and Relative measures of Dispersion – Range, Quartile Deviation, Percentiles, Deciles, Box Plot, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation.
Module III
Idea of Permutations and Combinations, Probability Concepts – Random Experiment, Sample Space, Events, Probability Measure, Approaches to Probability – Classical, Statistical and Axiomatic, Addition Theorem (upto 3 evens) Conditional Probability, Independence of events, Multiplication theorem (upto 3 events), Total Probability Law, Baye’s Theorem and its applications.
Module IV
Index Numbers – definition, Simple Index Numbers; Weighted Index Numbers – Laspeyer’s Paasche’s and Fisher’s Index Numbers, Test of Index Numbers, Construction of Index Numbers, Cost of Living Index Numbers – Family Budget Method, Aggregate Expenditure Method.
Complementary Course to B.Sc. Computer Applications
II Semester – Complementary – Statistics - (Optional) -Course II
Theory of Random Variables
Hours per week – 4
Random Variables – Discrete and Continuous, Probability Distributions – Probability Mass Function; Probability Density Function and Cumulative (distribution) function and their properties, change of variables (Univariate only), Bivariate random variables – Definition – Discrete and Continuous, Joint Probability Density Functions, Marginal and Conditional Distributions, Independence of Random Variables.
Mathematical Expectations – Expectation of a Random Variable, Moments in terms of Expectations, Moment Generating Functions (m.g.f.) and its properties. Characteristic Functions and its Simple Properties, Conditional Expectation
Raw Moments, Central Moments, Absolute Moments, Inter Relationships (First Four Moments), Skewness – Measures – Pearson, Bowley and Moment Measure Kurtosis- Measures of Kurtosis – Moment Measure, Measure based on partition values.
Introduction to bivariate data – Method of Least Squares – Curve Fitting – Fitting of Straight Lines, Second Degree Equation, Exponential Curve, Power Curve, Linear Correlation – Methods of Correlation – Scatter Diagram, Covariance Method, Rank Correlation (equal ranks). Linear Regression – Regression Equations – Fitting and identification, properties.
Core Reference
Complementary Course to B.Sc. Computer Applications
III Semester – Complementary – Statistics - (Optional) -Course III
Probability Distributions
Hours per week – 5
Discrete Distribution – Uniform: Geometric Bernoulli; Binomial; Poisson; Fitting of Distributions (Binomial and Poisson). Properties – Mean, Variance, m.g.f., Additive property; recurrence relation for moments (binomial and Poisson) Memory lessness property of Geometric distribution.
Continuous distributions – Uniform; Exponential; Gamma; Beta (type I and II); Normal; Standard Normal – definitions, Mean, Variance, m.g.f., Additive property, Memory lessness property of exponential distribution Fitting of Normal, Use of Standard Normal Tables for Computation of Various Probabilities.
Law of large Numbers, Tchebycheff’s Inequality, Weak Law of Large Numbers, Bernoulli’s Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem (Lindberg-Levy form) without proof.
Sampling Distributions – definition, Statistic, Parameter, Standard Error, Sampling Distributions of Mean and Variance, c2, t and F (without derivation), properties, Inter relationships.
Core Reference
1. S.C. Gupta and V.K. Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons
2. Hogg, R.V. and Craig A.T. (1970). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Amerind Publishing Co, Pvt. Ltd.
1. V.K. Rohatgi: An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley Eastern.
2. Mood A.M., Graybill F.A. and Boes D.C. Introduction to Theory of Statistics, McGraw Hill.
3. Johnson, N.L, Kotz, S. and Balakrishnan N. (1994). Continuous Univariate Distribution, John Wiley, New York.
4. Johnson, N.L, Kotz, S. and Kemp, A.W. : Univariate Discrete Distributions, John Wiley, New York.
Complementary Course to B.Sc. Computer
Applications
IV Semester – Complementary – Statistics - (Optional) -Course IV
Statistical Inference
Hours per week – 5
Concepts of Estimation, Types of Estimation – Point Estimation; Interval Estimation, Properties of Estimation – Unbiasedness, Efficiency; Consistency; Sufficiency.
Methods of Estimation – MLE, Methods of Moments, Method of Minimum Variance, Cramer Rao Inequality (without proof), Interval Estimation for Mean, Variance and Proportion.
Testing of hypothesis- Statistical hypothesis, Simple and composit hypothesis Null and Alternate hypothesis, Type I and Type II errors, Critical Region, Size of the test, P value, Power, Neyman Pearson approach , Large Sample test – Z test, Chi-Square test-goodness of fit, test of independence.
Small sample tests –Normal, t test, Chi-square test, F test, analysis of Variance (one way classification).
Core Reference
1. S.C. Gupta and V.K. Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons
2. Richard Johnson (2006): Probability and Statistics for Engineers (Miller and Freund). Prentice Hall.
1. S.C Gupta : Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons.
2. V.K. Rohatgi: An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley Eastern.
3. Mood A.M., Graybill F.A. and Boes D.C. Introduction to Theory of Statistics, McGraw Hill.
Complementary Course to B.Sc. Computer Applications
IV Semester – Complementary – Statistics - (Optional) -Course V
Sample Survey Designs
Hours per week – 4
Basic concepts: Census and Sampling, Types of Sampling – Subjective, judgement, Probability, mixed, Advantages and disadvantages, Principal steps in a sample survey, sampling and Non-sampling error, organizational aspects of sample survey.
Simple random sampling: Simple random sampling with and without replacement, procedures of selecting a sample, unbiased estimates of the population mean and population total-their variances and estimates of the variances, confidence interval for population mean and total, simple random sampling for attributes, estimation of sample size based on desired accuracy for variables and attributes.
Stratified random sampling: Estimation of the population mean and population total-their variances and estimates of the variances, proportional allocation and Neyman allocation of sample sizes, cost function – optimum allocation, comparison with simple random sampling.
Systematic Sampling: Linear and Circular Systematic Sampling, estimates of the population mean and population total, Comparison of Systematic Sampling with simple random sampling, Cluster sampling – clusters with equal sizes – estimation of population mean and total – their variances and estimates of the variances.
Total 90 hours
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO PSYCHOLOGY
III Semester – Complementary -Statistics- Course I
STATISTICAL METHODS AND ELEMENTARY PROBABILITY
Hours per week – 6
.
Module-1
Introduction to Statistics. Need and importance of Statistics in Psychology. Variables and attributes, Levels of Measurement: Nominal, Ordinal, Interval and Ratio. Population and Sample, frequency distribution, grouped and ungrouped frequency tables, graphical representation of frequency distribution, Histogram, Ogives, Bar diagrams and pie diagrams, Lorenz curve.
Module-2
Measures of Central Tendency Mean, Median, Mode, calculation, properties without proof- merits and demerits, suitability, examples and applications.
Dispersion: Range, Quartile deviation, Standard deviation, Mean deviation, Coefficient of variation, Skewness and Kurtosis.
Module-3
Probability: Basic concepts, different approaches, conditional probability, independence, addition theorem, multiplication theorem (with out proof) for two events, simple examples.
Module-4
Random variables, Discrete and Continuous, p.m.f and p.d.f. c.d.f of discrete r.v. Mathematical Expectation of a discrete r.v. Mean and Variance of a discrete r.v.
Core Reference:
1.Gupta.S.P., Statistical Methods. Sulthan Chand and Sons New Delhi.
Additional References
Complementary Course to Psychology
IV Semester – Complementary-Statistics- Course II
STATISTICAL TOOLS
Hours per week – 6
Module-1
Census and Sampling. Different methods of sampling . Requisites of a good sampling method. Advantages of sampling methods. Simple random sampling, Stratified sampling. Cluster sampling, Systematic sampling.
Module-2
Meaning, Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Correlation, Scatter Diagram, Interpretation of Correlation Coefficient, Rank Correlation, Regression, Regression Equation, Identifying the Regression Lines.
.
Module-3
Binomial distribution- mean and variance, simple examples. Normal distribution-definition, p.d.f. simple properties, calculation of probabilities using standard normal tables, simple problems.
Module-4
Elementary ideas of testing of hypothesis, simple and composite, null and alternate hypothesis, acceptance region and rejection region, p value, significance level and power, Test for mean, and equality of means, (large and small samples), Chi - Square test for independence. Non Parametric tests-Sign test, Wilcoxen’s Rank sum test, Run test.
Core Reference:
Additional References
Complementary Course to Sociology
I Semester- Complementary – Statistics –Course I
Basic Statistics
Hours per week-6
Module I
Introduction to Statistics- Collection of data-primary and secondary, census and sampling, classification and tabulation, grouped and ungrouped frequency table.
Module II
Diagrammatical and graphical representation of data- bar diagram, pie diagram, frequency polygon and curve, histogram, ogives.
Module III
Measures of central tendency- mean, median and mode- properties, merits and demerits.
Module IV
Measures of dispersion-Range, quartile deviation, mean deviation, standard deviation-properties, merits and demerits, coefficient of variation.
Core reference:
Additional Reference:
2. B.N. Asthana : Elements of Statistics
3.Meyer : Introduction to Probability and Statistical Application
4. Croxton and Cowden : Applied general Statistics.
Complementary Course to Sociology
II Semester- Complementary – Statistics –Course I
Statistical Tools
Hours per week-6
Module I
Random Experiment- sample space, event, -Algebra of events- classical and Statistical definition of probability- simple problems-Addition theorem of two events-statement only-conditional probability- Independence of events-elementary applications- random variables-probability density function- Binomial and normal distributions.
Module II
Testing of hypothesis-Null and alternate hypothesis, significance level, power of the test, Z tests for means and proportion (one sample and two sample).
Module III
Scatter diagram, principle of least squares, fitting of straight lines, Regression lines, correlation between two variables- rank correlation.
Module IV
Index numbers- definition, uses, problems in construction of index numbers, weighted index numbers- Laspeyer’s , Paasche ’s and Fisher’s index numbers, tests for good index numbers, Fixed base and chain base index numbers -conversion.
Core reference:
1. S. P. Gupta: Statistical Methods, Sultan Chand and Sons, New Delhi.
Additional Reference:
I Semester – Complementary – Statistics - Course I
BCA 103 : Basic Statistics
Introduction to Statistics, Population and Sample, Collection of Data, Census and Sampling, Methods of Sampling – Simple Random Sampling (with and without replacement) – stratified sampling – systematic sampling (Method only), Types of data – quantitative, qualitative, Classification and Tabulation, Diagrammatic representation – Bar diagram, pie diagram; Graphical representation – histogram; frequency polygon; frequency curve; ogives and stem and leaf chart.
Module II
Measures of Central Tendency – Mean, Median, Mode, Geometric Mean, Harmonic Mean, Percentiles, Deciles. Measures of Dispersion – Range, Quartile Deviation, Box Plot, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation.
Module III
Idea of Permutations and Combinations, Probability Concepts – Random Experiment, Sample Space, Events, Probability Measure, Approaches to Probability – Classical, Statistical and Axiomatic, Addition Theorem (upto 3 events) Conditional Probability, Independence of events, Multiplication theorem (upto 3 events), Total Probability Law, Baye’s Theorem and its applications.
Module IV
Random variables and distribution functions Random variables, probability density(mass) function, distribution function, mean and standard deviation of different probability density function, moment generating function.
BCA301 : Advanced Statistical Methods
Theoretical distributions. Discrete distribution(binomial and Poisson ), mean, variance, moment generating functions and fitting of data. Continuous distribution- normal distribution only. Area under the normal curve-related problems,.
Sampling Distributions – definition, Statistic, Parameter, Standard Error, Sampling Distributions of Mean and Variance, c2, t and F (without derivation), properties, Inter relationships.
Concepts of Estimation, Types of Estimation – Point Estimation, Properties of Estimation – Unbiasedness, Efficiency; Consistency; Sufficiency; Interval Estimation, Interval Estimation for Mean, Variance and Proportion
Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics -S C Gupta and V K Kapoor
SEMESTER 4
BCA401: Stochastic and Deterministic Optimization Techniques
Stochastic and deterministic models, Exponential distribution, lack of memory property of exponential distribution.Basics of operations research, The nature and uses of OR –Main concepts and approaches of OR-models in OR-Advantages of a model phases of OR
Linear programming problems; Mathematical formulation of a L.P.P General linear programming problems, solution of a L.P.P, graphical method for solving a L.P.P.,
Simplex Method: slack and surplus variables- reduction of any feasible solution to a basic feasible solution, dual problems, artificial variable techniques-Big M method.
Module III
Unit-4: Transportation problems: transportation model- solution by simplex method-north west corner lowest cost entry Vogel’s and MODI method-Degeneracy Assignment problems.
Module IV
Stochastic processes (Definition and examples), Pure birth process, Poisson process, pure death process, birth and death process, Application of birth and death process-M/M/1 and M/M/s queues (Definitions only).
Book of study:
Stochastic Processes: Sheldon M.Ross
Operations Research : Kanti Swaroop
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO MATHEMATICS & PHYSICS
I Semester – Complementary – Statistics - Course I
Basic Statistics
Hours per week – 4
Introduction to Statistics, Population and Sample, Collection of Data, Various methods of data collection, Census and Sampling Methods of Sampling – Simple Random Sampling (with and without replacement) – stratified sampling – systematic sampling (Method only), Types of data – quantitative, qualitative, Classification and Tabulation, Diagrammatic representation – Bar diagram, pie diagram; pictogram and cartogram, Graphical representation – histogram; frequency polygon; frequency curve; ogives and stem and leaf chart.
Module II
Measures of Central Tendency – Mean; Median; Mode; Geometric Mean; Harmonic Mean and Properties, Absolute and Relative measures of Dispersion – Range, Quartile Deviation, Percentiles, Deciles, Box Plot, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation, Coefficient of Variation.
Module III
Idea of Permutations and Combinations, Probability Concepts – Random Experiment, Sample Space, Events, Probability Measure, Approaches to Probability – Classical, Statistical and Axiomatic, Addition Theorem (upto 3 evens) Conditional Probability, Independence of events, Multiplication theorem (upto 3 events), Total Probability Law, Baye’s Theorem and its applications.
Module IV
Index Numbers – definition, Simple Index Numbers; Weighted Index Numbers – Laspeyer’s Paasche’s and Fisher’s Index Numbers, Test of Index Numbers, Construction of Index Numbers, Cost of Living Index Numbers – Family Budget Method, Aggregate Expenditure Method.
Complementary Course to Mathematics & Physics
II Semester – Complementary – Statistics - Course II
Theory of Random Variables
Hours per week – 4
Random Variables – Discrete and Continuous, Probability Distributions – Probability Mass Function; Probability Density Function and Cumulative (distribution) function and their properties, change of variables (Univariate only), Bivariate random variables – Definition – Discrete and Continuous, Joint Probability Density Functions, Marginal and Conditional Distributions, Independence of Random Variables.
Mathematical Expectations – Expectation of a Random Variable, Moments in terms of Expectations, Moment Generating Functions (m.g.f.) and its properties. Characteristic Functions and its Simple Properties, Conditional Expectation
Raw Moments, Central Moments, Absolute Moments, Inter Relationships (First Four Moments), Skewness – Measures – Pearson, Bowley and Moment Measure Kurtosis- Measures of Kurtosis – Moment Measure, Measure based on partition values.
Introduction to bivariate data – Method of Least Squares – Curve Fitting – Fitting of Straight Lines, Second Degree Equation, Exponential Curve, Power Curve, Linear Correlation – Methods of Correlation – Scatter Diagram, Covariance Method, Rank Correlation (equal ranks). Linear Regression – Regression Equations – Fitting and identification, properties.
Core Reference
Complementary Course to Mathematics & Physics
III Semester – Complementary – Statistics - Course III
Probability Distributions
Hours per week – 5
Discrete Distribution – Uniform: Geometric Bernoulli; Binomial; Poisson; Fitting of Distributions (Binomial and Poisson). Properties – Mean, Variance, m.g.f., Additive property; recurrence relation for moments (binomial and Poisson) Memory lessness property of Geometric distribution.
Continuous distributions – Uniform; Exponential; Gamma; Beta (type I and II); Normal; Standard Normal – definitions, Mean, Variance, m.g.f., Additive property, Memory lessness property of exponential distribution Fitting of Normal, Use of Standard Normal Tables for Computation of Various Probabilities.
Law of large Numbers, Tchebycheff’s Inequality, Weak Law of Large Numbers, Bernoulli’s Law of Large Numbers, Central Limit Theorem (Lindberg-Levy form) without proof.
Sampling Distributions – definition, Statistic, Parameter, Standard Error, Sampling Distributions of Mean and Variance, c2, t and F (without derivation), properties, Inter relationships.
Core Reference
1. S.C. Gupta and V.K. Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons
2. Hogg, R.V. and Craig A.T. (1970). Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Amerind Publishing Co, Pvt. Ltd.
1. V.K. Rohatgi: An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley Eastern.
2. Mood A.M., Graybill F.A. and Boes D.C. Introduction to Theory of Statistics, McGraw Hill.
3. Johnson, N.L, Kotz, S. and Balakrishnan N. (1994). Continuous Univariate Distribution, John Wiley, New York.
4. Johnson, N.L, Kotz, S. and Kemp, A.W. : Univariate Discrete Distributions, John Wiley, New York.
Complementary Course to Mathematics & Physics
IV Semester – Complementary – Statistics - Course IV
Statistical Inference
Hours per week – 5
Concepts of Estimation, Types of Estimation – Point Estimation; Interval Estimation, Properties of Estimation – Unbiasedness, Efficiency; Consistency; Sufficiency.
Methods of Estimation – MLE, Methods of Moments, Method of Minimum Variance, Cramer Rao Inequality (without proof), Interval Estimation for Mean, Variance and Proportion.
Testing of hypothesis- Statistical hypothesis, Simple and composit hypothesis Null and Alternate hypothesis, Type I and Type II errors, Critical Region, Size of the test, P value, Power, Neyman Pearson approach , Large Sample test – Z test, Chi-Square test-goodness of fit, test of independence.
Small sample tests –Normal, t test, Chi-square test, F test, analysis of Variance (one way classification).
Core Reference
1. S.C. Gupta and V.K. Kapoor: Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons
2. Richard Johnson (2006): Probability and Statistics for Engineers (Miller and Freund). Prentice Hall.
1. S.C Gupta : Fundamentals of Mathematical Statistics, Sultan Chand and Sons.
2. V.K. Rohatgi: An Introduction to Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, Wiley Eastern.
3. Mood A.M., Graybill F.A. and Boes D.C. Introduction to Theory of Statistics, McGraw Hill.
COMPLEMENTARY COURSE TO ECONOMICS
I Semester- Complementary – Statistics –Course I
Statistical Tools
Hours per week-6
Module I
Introduction to Statistics-Population and sample, collection of data-primary and secondary, Preparation of questionnaire, census and sampling, methods of sampling-simple random sampling, stratified sampling and systematic sampling, classification and tabulation
Module II
Measures of central tendency – mean, median and mode – properties, merits and demerits.
Module III
Measures of dispersion – Range, quartile deviation, mean deviation and standard deviation, partition values, coefficient of variation.
Module IV
Moments-raw and central, relationships (statement only), measures of skewness and kurtosis, Lorenze curve, Gini index.
Core reference:
Additional Reference:
Complementary Course to Economics
II Semester- Complementary – Statistics –Course I
Statistical Tools
Hours per week-6
Module I
Random Experiment- sample space, event, classical and Statistical definitions of probability- simple problems-Addition and multiplication theorems, Baye’s theorem (statement only)-simple applications.
Module II
Random variables- discrete and continuous, probability density function, distribution function, mathematical expectation- mean and variance of a random variable, Binomial, Poisson and Normal distributions- simple problems, fitting.
Module III
Scatter diagram, principle of least squares- fitting of straight lines, Regression lines, correlation –Pearson’s coefficient of correlation and rank correlation.
Module IV
Linear programming-mathematical formulation and graphical method of solution, Primal and dual, Input output analysis.
Core reference:
Additional Reference: